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Topic Review (Newest First)
09-15-2019 10:39 AM
troutsupport Let's face it, weather forecast have become dumbed down for the city life and the more predictions they make it gives them higher odds of being wrong ;-) so it's generalized. LOL. That said, knowing a little about what's going to cause the forecast is a good thing, for example.. a forecast that tells you a front is coming through.. that's helpful because that should clue you in to watch that Radar Ap. You should expect the wind direction and speed to change with that and you want to have a heads up of what you think that should be and about what time it's going to happen. Fronts and Rain associated with a frontal system can produce higher winds than what is predicted due to storm cell down burst... so the forecast wind might say 'Changing to North at 15' and you'll get downburst to 40 in those storm cells.. so just know what is going to happen for the day.
09-14-2019 11:15 PM
dk2429 I've never trusted weather predictions. I dont care what kind of meteorologist you think you are, theres no one that can 100% predict the weather. I just use my own eyes. If **** is about to go south, head in. If it looks okay, then I'll stay.

Only thing I trust is wind speed/direction. Theres just been too many incidents with me that the weather turned opposite of what was predicted, both in a good and bad way.

Theres nothing like the night before.. "Weather tomorrow, 10% chance, light wind, party cloudy!" Then you wake up the next morning at 6 at Houston County Lake ready to go, and it starts raining and storming so hard that the parking lot floods. That was the last time I trusted weather forecast
09-13-2019 11:09 PM
Bruce J I use the app called RadarScope for tracking rain cells, and it seems pretty good. Any other recommendations.
09-13-2019 09:46 PM
c hook

Originally Posted by 2310Ranger View Post
Obviously don't ignore the weather...but 40 percent = 60 percent not...go fishing! If I understand your post correctly...prayers for you as well.
I use this one frequently.
09-13-2019 08:03 PM
Brian Castille 30% and 40% are "normal" rain chances for summer days with the highest chance typically in the afternoon but all days are different and there is always the chance for the unexpected. I have been in some bad stuff before - I have taken a glancing blow from a lightning strike and had electricity running through my body, I have been in confirmed 98 mph winds at the jetties, I have been in a boat that got hit by a waterspout in more or less blackout conditions. All 3 events were unexpected and unavoidable. I watch the weather forecasts a lot and watch radar on my phone while fishing. Sometimes a 10% chance of rain ends up being storms all over the bay at 6am and sometimes an 80% chance of rain does nothing. There are also hourly forecasts available that help. Typically in the summer, the storms are either right at grey dawn or in the afternoon (my experience anyway). Percent chance of rain is confidence of it raining over a portion of an area. If confidence is 80% that it will rain over 25% of the area, the percent chance of rain is 20% for the area. Not much but if they are correct and you are in the 25% area with 80% confidence, you're getting wet, lol. If there is a higher chance of storms, I may go and stay close to the dock. I also have contingency plans for storms. Don't be afraid to run and hide somewhere to get out of the weather. My thought is to just be confortable and don't take a chance to catch another fish. Safety first. Sorry for the rambling, lol.
09-13-2019 01:31 PM
Csafisher Can’t catch fish in your living room....
09-13-2019 12:04 PM
Sticktheseichtys Agree with previous comments...the Doppler apps have been very helpful in seeing the size of storms, actual rain cells, winds, and speed of the storm cells. Depending on the front system, some of these are brief showers that will move through and not even take you off the water.
I double down on my safety stuff - a float plan and someone on shore that knows where you will be, a good communication system if you need help, a route that gives you options for cover or a quick move to safety or shore if needed, raingear, etc.
The actual Doppler apps on my phone have been the most helpful for my decision making when it actually comes time to walk out the door and make a go at it or pull up anchor and head for the boat ramp. 40% versus 70% doesn't help me much in decision making usually...
Sometimes I will reroute to the pier or an alternative for those days with pretty bad weather. My son and I leapfrogged storms all Spring Break a couple years ago at the piers and Jetties around Corpus due to the rain and storms....He caught the biggest Black Drum of his life that week!
09-13-2019 10:22 AM
troutsupport There's also a higher percentage chance that it will be inland and not on the bay unless there is a cold front passing through.. then the odds are about equal. Use a good radar ap and if you're worried about it just check it every now and then (once an hour until you get comfortable).
09-13-2019 09:33 AM
Jhonny i bring a friend with a longer rod
09-12-2019 10:40 PM
2310Ranger Obviously don't ignore the weather...but 40 percent = 60 percent not...go fishing! If I understand your post correctly...prayers for you as well.
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