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Colossians 3
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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
Ivan is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale with maximum sustained winds of near
140 mph...220 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is
possible during the next day or two.

It must be re-emphasized that the forecast track beyond 72
hours continues to be highly uncertain since steering currents are
forecast to be weak and not well-defined in the forecast models.

The spread in the models continues in the latest 12z run. Some
models bring Ivan over Florida and another group move the
hurricane toward the Gulf of Mexico. There is no apparent reason to
favor one scenario over the other at this time.

Therefore...the official forecast remains near the global model consensus and
presumes that there will be enough ridging to keep the hurricane on
a northwest to north-northwest track... bringing dangerous Ivan
over western Cuba in 4 days and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by
day five.

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